10-Year Treasury Yield vs. Bitcoin Market Cap, 2009–2026
About this chart
The line is the 10-year US Treasury yield, drawn month by month from January 2009. The sphere at its tip is bitcoin's market capitalization that month; its area is proportional to market cap, so a sphere with twice the area is twice the market cap. The animation takes twenty seconds, holds on the latest month, and loops. The scrubber pauses on any month, and the sphere scaling can be changed in the controls.
Method
Yield is the monthly average of the 10-year constant-maturity Treasury yield (FRED series GS10). Bitcoin market cap is month-end price multiplied by coins mined to that date; price from Coin Metrics community data through spring 2026 and from published monthly closes after that. The last month is month to date.
Data sources
- FRED GS10 — 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate
- Coin Metrics community data (bitcoin price, supply)
Updated September 2026
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